New national polls released over the weekend show President Trump’s job approval rating has declined to a near a 70-year low for the White House’s chief executive after his first six months in office.
According to three surveys of thousands of Americans from July 10–15, only approximately 40 percent approve of Trump’s performance, similar to Gerald Ford’s favorability numbers after half a year as president in February 1975.
Specifically, two polls by ABC News/Washington Post and Gallup found Trump’s approval rating at 36 percent and 38 percent respectively, while a Rasmussen Reports survey found 43 percent of “likely voters” support the president’s performance.
According RealClear Politics (RCP), President Obama’s average approval rating six months into his presidency sat at just under 57 percent, similar to George W. Bush’s 55 percent in mid-July 2001.
Trump’s average approval rating has steadily declined since the beginning of February when the New York businessman achieved an all-time high RCP average of 46 percent support, dropping below 40 for the first time at the beginning of April.
Perhaps most significantly in terms of performance, the ABC News/Washington Post survey of 1,001 U.S. adults found Trump’s strongest issue is the economy, as 43 percent approve of his handling that issue, compared to 41 percent who disapprove.
Conversely, the poll found Trump has a trust issue with the public, as only 34 percent of respondents said they have a “great deal” or “good amount” of trust in the current president negotiating for America with foreign leaders. Forty-four percent said they don’t trust Trump in this area “at all”.
Evidence that Trump’s support is slipping in areas that helped him win the 2016 election was also found in a yet-to-be-released NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll that surveyed registered voters in counties of 16 swing-states that Trump either won by a larger margin than Mitt Romey in 2012, or that flipped from Obama to Trump in 2016.
According to the survey of 600 adults, Trump’s approval rating in these “red” counties now stands at 50 percent, 44 percent in the counties that “flipped” from Obama and 56 percent in those where Trump’s vote total eclipsed Romney.
If Trump’s approval rating continues to decline at the present pace, political observers should expect the current White House holder to be a one-term occupant, or face a challenge for the GOP nomination come 2020.
[Politico] [Washington Post] [NBC News]