Clinton has bigger lead among millennials than Obama in 2008 election

A new USA Today/Rock the Vote poll released Monday shows Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton trouncing rival Donald Trump by 36 percentage points among millennials, age 18 to 34, in a hypothetical two-candidate race.

The survey’s finding is a devastating blow for the Republican Party’s national electoral prospects, as the 2016 general election is set to become the third presidential contest in a row where the Democratic candidate will have won by at least 24 points among young voters — the longest such streak since demographic polling data started being collected in 1952.

“Millennial voters and their lopsided support for Barack Obama played a key role in the last two presidential elections,” said USA Today’s Washington Bureau Chief, Susan Page. “In our new poll, Hillary Clinton wins even more lopsided support among the largest generation in American history. But there’s still a warning flag here: She doesn’t yet generate the sort of enthusiasm that would guarantee high turnout in November.”

The binary poll shows 24 percent of young Americans are either still undecided or plan not to vote. When third-party candidates were included, Clinton received 50 percent support to Trump’s paltry 18 percent, with Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson not far behind at 11 percent.

In 2008, then-Sen. Barack Obama won the under-30 vote over Republican presidential nominee John McCain by 35 points and beat Gov. Mitt Romney in his reelection bid among America’s youth by 24 points.

Other interesting findings include the revelation that 70 percent of millennials believe sexism is a contributing factor to voter “hostility” towards Clinton; 72 percent of young Sanders supporters say they will now vote for the former Secretary; nearly three-quarters of 18-34 year-olds think police brutality toward African-Americans is a major issue and 77 percent are concerned about the safety of law enforcement personnel. 

According to the latest Census Bureau estimate in April, millennials are now a larger percentage of the population than Baby Boomers between the age of 51 and 69, the former accounting for 75.4 million individuals.

The USA Today/Rock the Vote survey was conducted by Ipsos August 5-10, among 1,539 American citizens between the ages of 18 and 34, in all 50 states.

Overall, Clinton leads Trump nationally in binary polls by an average of 6.7 points, 47.7 to 41 percent. In surveys that include the Libertarian and Green Party candidates, Clinton also leads, 43.6 to 37.4 — with Gary Johnson receiving an average of 8.5 points to Jill Stein’s three.


[USA Today] [Pew Research] [RealClear Politics] [Photo courtesy Jae C. Hong/AP via The Atlantic]