Researchers at two American universities have concluded the flow of both legal and illegal Mexican immigration into the United States has clearly fallen in recent years. The findings were published by the University of New Hampshire’s Casey School of Public Policy.
Analysts at the at the University of Texas San Antonio and the University of New Hampshire have concluded immigration from Mexico climaxed between 2003–2007, when 1.9 million sought refuge in the United States compared to the years between 2008–2012 when slightly over 800,000 attempted to enter the United States.
Rogelio Saenz, dean of the College of Public Policy at the University of Texas San Antonio and a member of the study group cited lower birth rate among Mexican women, the 2007–09 recession, where fewer jobs were available in the U.S. and the improving economic climate in Mexico among the basis for their conclusions.
“Many are coming not to find jobs in construction but to escape the crime and violence that continues to rage in Mexico,” Saenz said. “They are far more likely to be naturalized U.S. citizens coming back, English-speaking, better educated, older, and female, than in the past.”
“Those demographics led to large numbers of young people who could not find jobs at home, but that has ended with the birth rate there now about the same as the U.S. rate,” he continued. “There is no longer the excess labor force that Mexico had just a few decades ago. Mexican immigrants today are wealthier and more likely to arrive on special visa programs that often require them to make job-creating investments.”
Astonishing to some, immigration nonetheless will continue to be a contentious subject for presidential candidates in 2016.
For Donald Trump, who has perpetually demagogued the issue, this will certainly be unwelcome news as he has made immigration the centerpiece of his campaign.